Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 193.896779 234.600085 286.209733 358.330807 459.803818 603.145463 832.756559
2024-12-29 147.075005 193.997023 262.163105 375.139326 574.029229 952.466262 1890.077631
2025-01-05 116.389161 161.615180 233.088563 365.922319 642.438702 1324.419212 4085.341746
2025-01-12 99.687681 144.136971 219.337621 373.561418 749.322241 1977.952723 12472.090160
2025-01-19 85.151344 126.301346 199.046286 358.486150 794.009693 2596.399782 44195.716947
2025-01-26 83.012391 128.425456 214.886777 428.148891 1155.812492 6467.108558 NaN
2025-02-02 81.287895 130.714538 231.643307 512.081701 1747.043819 25707.014148 NaN
2025-02-09 73.346921 119.745568 217.180219 501.758256 1912.268487 57562.592777 NaN
2025-02-16 68.662551 114.309654 213.736240 524.355784 2353.986195 510770.110531 NaN
2025-02-23 67.098158 114.806366 224.289749 602.537630 3586.810200 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 65.307093 114.482187 232.778729 682.626643 5615.694499 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 62.311600 111.054385 232.214868 726.245723 7908.897887 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 54.906289 98.270303 206.972716 658.431606 7782.632857 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 50.892302 92.750549 201.577524 692.102262 12412.820459 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 46.184306 84.895691 187.317099 668.088554 15338.764269 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 43.006631 80.099807 180.929002 685.783693 25236.692043 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 39.347826 73.623886 167.690565 649.830795 29295.031485 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 39.195984 75.543259 181.713853 820.556761 459803.940903 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 38.979072 77.263914 196.100451 1044.554952 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 36.385412 72.441587 185.451029 1015.910049 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 34.781254 70.013538 183.164512 1078.995747 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 34.253931 70.376279 191.849247 1308.696290 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-25 33.586326 70.247401 198.688504 1562.744940 NaN NaN NaN